15 days to go📅: One of two things is going to be true in November — somebody is going to be really wrong.
Republicans think they are looking better than they did a few weeks ago
DDHQ has Democrats with a 56% chance of winning back the Senate
Disconnect🤔: The excitement by Democrats is way stronger than 56%
Good read📰: Politico headlines, “‘A warning sign for polling’: Why one GOP pollster thinks a blue wave may fall short”
The people who seem to be the most honest about the polls are our partners at DDHQ, who say the Senate is a coin toss
Democrats are confident
Republicans are confident
Tonight📺: Data guru and director of data science at DDHQ Scott Tranter, Kurt Bardella and Chris Cillizza join me.
Must read📰: Our buddy Erick Erickson is out with a must-read Monday morning note about why the Palestinian flag is now the symbol of “resistance” worldwide
Erickson explains it all: “The Flag That Flies Over Every Cause and Jimmy Carter’s Second Term”
Often after reading Erick’s pieces, I think, “Why didn’t I think of that?” — if you like War Notes, you will love Show Notes
Erick is offering a 20% off subscription to Show Notes for all War Notes readers.
My thoughts💭: France is the DSA’s dream — literally free everything, so NO, this is NOT about cost of living.
France is the icon of Islamic migration tolerance and recognition of a Palestinian state — yet rioters waved the flag.
Complicit‼️: The media first covered the “protests” as students angry about lunch. Now it’s “cost of living.”
We ignore the truth at our great peril.
⚠️The French riots are a natural confluence of political Islam and leftist ideology…we should not be surprised.
Follow📱: Former Clinton NSC staffer Jamie Metzl explains it well
Zoom out🚨: The Red Green alliance goes back to Iran and the ‘70s — be afraid
Read Eli Lake’s great piece — “The Ties That Bind Islamists and Progressives”
Tell the world they need to read War Notes! Restack it! 🔄
Hit the circle arrows at the top and help spread the word. Thanks for reading — we appreciate you!
Evil is Real🚨
🤦Trump keeps thinking he can get some deal with Putin, Putin will live up to it, and to make it happen, Trump gave Putin this huge win and got nothing in return
Now Putin is floating a summit with Xi of China to negotiate the end of the war in Ukraine.
It’s personal‼️: Trump has never liked Zelenskyy — he loves summits and the romance of an international deal.
Look back🔙: Kim Jong Un embarrassed Trump in Singapore — Putin is a smarter and shrewder Kim.
Putin is evil🚨: Bill O’Reilly has been clear on this issue. Here’s Bill over the years on Putin:
2008: “Most Americans understand that Putin is a villain, a former secret police killer”
2014: “Taking a page out of the Hitler playbook Russian President Vladimir Putin has invaded Ukraine”
2017: Bill: “He’s a killer tho, Putin’s a killer though.”
Trump: “A lot of killers...you think our country is so innocent?”
Bill: “I don’t know of any government leaders that are killers in America”
2025: Leland: “20 pages in ‘Confronting Evil’ to Vladimir Putin. — By far the biggest chapter. Why?”
Bill: “He’s a danger to us, enjoys inflicting suffering on people. He’s a mass murderer…this is a guy that’s totally out of control. No constraints on him at all
❓What’s the justification for continuing to think Putin will give America a good deal and stick with it?
Plus: Why take your (Trump’s) boot off his neck and get nothing?
Watch tonight📺: We confront O’Reilly
Sharing is caring‼️Credit to Elon Musk for seeing the writing on the wall: the growing anger against the rich. And he is actually doing something about it.
📱Today, Musk announced he is giving one share of SpaceX to every child in America through a Trump Account.
This would mean around 72 million children in America would each get a share currently worth around $146
Is one share a big deal? Maybe not now, but it may be in 16 years.
Put it in perspective💰: If every kid was given a share of Tesla when it IPO’d 16 years ago, and the same thing happens to SpaceX as it did to Tesla, every share of SpaceX will be worth, in theory, over $40,000 in 16 years.
It’s pretty amazing what he’s doing, but never mind the tax loopholes that will show the benefits to the rich.
Musk would be giving out over $10 billion in stock to children in America — which means he would get a MASSIVE write-off
Basic terms💲: He would get to take billions of dollars in deductions without actually spending a dollar.
This pays for all his political advertising plus living expenses for the rest of his life.
Again, the tax code benefits the rich — if you give stock to your kids, it’s AFTER tax money.
Be real 🤷: It’s pretty smart on his part too.
Warning⚠️: But we’ve been telling you this for four years: radical Islam and socialism are converging, and it doesn’t end well.
They have something to sell that people are angry about
And say it can’t happen in the U.S. — look:
Weaponization Games‼️
2️⃣Two things happened over the weekend when it came to weaponization:
President Obama came to the rescue of Rep. Ilhan Omar and said Trump is weaponizing the DOJ against her.
Perhaps he saw our exclusive reporting showing the Omar investigation is growing. :
Potential 2028 vice presidential candidate Elissa Slotkin said we need to make young people afraid of going to work for the administration because they will be investigated simply for working for the Trump administration.
This is the definition of weaponization
Democrats can cry weaponization over Omar, but then you have Slotkin weaponizing staffers — can’t have it both ways.
Good read📰: “The Race Is On for Trump Staffers to hire Lawyers in Case Democrats Win Midterms,” headlines The Wall Street Journal
Be real⚖️: Both sides are weaponizing the DOJ and profiting from their time in office.
This is what’s wrong with America
Yes, no one is above the law, but no one should be below the law either
The law should not be contorted to investigate whoever you want.
Tonight📺: Former Bernie Sanders campaign strategist Corbin Trent
Great subjects for tonight!
I commented on several of your subjects from your midday post so I’ll spare everyone a repetition.
Except Elon Musk. Not because he has a cult like following, but because he’s a national City Father from 100 years ago. He sees a need, something he can do that makes his home better for everyone. The fact that he gets a tax break is just an additional incentive. Gifting—not giving—SpaceX stock to every American minor will give the recipients a start in life. They’ll have wealth, which means owning more than you owe. Best of all, this is private sector, not a government program funded ultimately by taxpayers.
It would be spectacular if other derided and in some cases despised billionaires followed Elon’s lead with other acts to gift things we need.
Evil is showing its face this Monday and Trump is walking a very fine line.
._All your warnings to us over the years about the French Revolution, Putin's European Ambitions and Muslim Migration have been realized, and are at blind to the fact that the same issues are popping up all over this country?
._ When are people going to open their eyes and see the Evil that Putin is.
I put him right up there with the IRGC. Now we seem to be trying to negotiate with Evil. As you say, confounding and will get us nowhere. Gen. Wesley Clark on Elizabeth tonight tells it like it is.
._DOJ is riling up quite a few folks. It's the Dems turn to cry fowl! Obama is quacking at the moment.
._Keep talking about “peaceful demonstrations” that “turn into” Palestinian terrorists propaganda events that always turn into riots. Doesn't matter what country, its all over the globe. It got really big in France, and hasn't been stopped as far as i can tell, in spite of Macron's announcement. He is acting too late to save that historic town hall. Of course they destroyed it, that's what islamists do. I am thinking of Iraq and the coverage of them destroying archeological treasures that survived millennia. With Jack hammers and explosives. Chilling. And the same thing is happening in France now.
.._Musk sharing his wealth with one hand, and filing it with the other. That is brilliant and good deeds should be rewarded. Wow!
._Keep putting the truth on the air for all to see and hear, and hopefully it falls on ears that will actually make America Great Again. And that Is Not A MAGA person talking. I started out my political life as an Independent, but I found that I couldn't vote in primaries. Which is total B.S.!! So I switched to Republican. That was decades ago. Now I'm thinking of going back to being a registered Independent…