Midterm reality check☑️: Stop listening to everyone talking about polling, the horserace, and what is going to happen — they don’t know.
🔵We all keep getting told a blue bomb is coming — and it might be.
I’ve been in this business long enough to know conventional wisdom is often wrong
Maybe it will be a checkerboard
South Carolina goes blue, but New Hampshire goes red
Texas goes blue, but Minnesota goes red
Watch tonight📺: We don’t know how the midterms will turn out, but there are a few things they will turn on
The president himself, Donald Trump
He’s traveling to battleground states, making stops in Texas, South Carolina, North Carolina and soon Alaska
He plans to travel to 35 different races in the final days to the midterms
Money
Republicans have over $530 million cash plus whatever Elon Musk decides to spend
Gas prices and war in Iran
Lots of things can change elections with nearly two months to go.
Proof 🤷: Do you remember the big story two months ago? I don’t either.
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Dangerous Miscalculation⚠️
‼️I stopped counting a while ago, but Trump told Axios today he might actually blow up Iran
Trump: “I have a big decision coming up. Do I want to go in and annihilate them [the Iranian regime] or do I not? It’s a big decision. Anything could happen with me.”
Does Iran believe him? Most likely not, and that might be their problem.
Different world🌎: Trump faces a far, far different world than he did a few months ago
A Carter-like energy crisis is coming
“Saudi Pipeline Attack Risks ‘Disastrous’ Loss of Oil as Fighting Escalates,” headlines The New York Times
“China Stockpiled Oil, and Now It Could Dominate the Energy Landscape,” headlines The New York Times
Lower prices💲: If and only if the Iranian regime feels they face annihilation, will it back down.
At this point, Trump might feel he has nothing to lose — if gas prices are going to go up either way, he might as well attack
That’s a dangerous place for the ayatollah.
Watch tonight📺: Brent Sadler and Mike Sarraille on how Trump can raise the pain on Iran and bring down gas prices at the same time.
Plus➕: Congressman Jason Smith is chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee — he is also a beef farmer. As diesel goes higher, can Trump afford NOT to fight his way out?
Power Play‼️
👀One thing that has become clear is we have the tools to deal with AI right now
📺CNN’s banner today read, “OpenAI reports six new instances of ‘concerning’ AI behavior”
No — six times, machines programmed and designed by humans did bad things because at some point they were told to.
Stop telling us AI is this disembodied force that nobody has responsibility for and hold those responsible — responsible.
But that isn’t happening
🤦 Instead, we are told the answer is more government power.
If you are truly worried about AI, we should be going after the AI companies and holding those people who own them accountable
If you read one thing:
Watch tonight📺: Founder and president of Encode, Sneha Revanur, and J.B. Branch, director of federal AI governance and tech policy for Public Citizen
Oh for the love of God, Trump makes me lose my religion every single day! He is like a damn bully, all talk and no action about blowing up Iran to kingdom come! Get some cojones and just do it already, we are waiting Mr. President! I’m so frustrated, if he is not going to do it at least give Mr. Netanyahu the green light to carry on instead of pussyfooting around these evil people who are trying to destroy the world. There we have it, that’s my opinion.
DJT just might start playing to win in the mid East since he's got nothing to lose. If he does nothing, he will lose here in America. He doesnt like to lose. I hope you're right Leland.